Scientific publications

Journal Papers

Work in progress

• Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Asperti F., Foglia E. " A Shennon Entropy-based Metric for Measuring ECU Overcrowding". Expert Systems With Application. In submission.
• Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " Emergence of Limit Cycles in an Epidemiological Extension of the El Farol Bar Problem". PlosOne. under review.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Towards a new AI Winter? How diffusion of technological innovation on networks leads to chaotic boom-bust cycles". Frontiers in AI. published.
• Zaroual O., Bertolotti F.. " Assessing System Prompts Quality via a Genetic Algorithm in a LLM-enhanced Agent-Based Model". IEEE Access. In submission.

2025

• Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Asperti F., Foglia E. " A Gravity Model for Emergency Care Units". Scientific Reports. published.
• Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " An Epidemiological Extension of the El Farol Bar Problem". Frontiers in Big Data. published.
• Berceanu C., Bertolotti F., Arshad N., Patrascu M.. " Evaluation of Intermodel Equivalence for Misinformation Diffusion: Equation vs. Agent-Based Models". PlosOne. published.
• Canavesi A., Bertolotti F., Cattaneo L., Mari L., Buonanno G., Ravarini A.. " From Developers to Players: Exploring the Dual Impact of Game-Based Learning on Student Engagement, Learning and Skill Development". Journal of Research in Educational Sciences. published.

2024

• Bertolotti F., Roman S.. " Balancing Long-term and Short-term Strategies in a Sustainability Game". iScience. published.
• Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Ferrario L., Bellavia D., Foglia E. " A Framework for Predicting Drug Consumpion with Short Time-Series". Expert Systems With Application. published.

2023

• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Global history, the emergence of chaos and inducing sustainability in networks of socio-ecological systems". PlosOne. published.

2022

• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " A Master Equation for Power Laws". Royal Society Open Science. published.
• Bertolotti F., Roman S.. " Risk Sensitive Scheduling Strategies of Production Studios on the US Movie Market an Agent-based Simulation". Intelligenza Artificiale. published.

Conference Papers

2026

• Bertolotti F., Roman S., Carucci F., Agosta A.. " Emergence and collapse of trade networks from first principles: an agent-based modeling simulation". AAMAS2026. accepted.

2025

• Bertolotti F., Roman S., Carucci F., Buonanno G., Mari L.. " An LLM-enhanced Agent-Based Model of a Sustainability Game". WOA 2025. published.
• Bertolotti F., Viscardi S., Creazza A., Colicchia E.. " An Agent-based Simulation Model of Rebound Effect in Retail Markets". MIM 2025 - Design, Optimization and Control Systems for Sustainable and Resilient Food Supply Chains. published.

2024

• Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " Exploring Epidemiological Dynamics in a Social Dilemma". FRCCS 2024. presented.
• Piras A., Bertolotti F.. " How Risk Preferences Shape City-State Success: An Agent-Based Model of Resource Management". WOA 2024. published.

2023

• Bertolotti F., Mari L.. " A Methodology for Limit Cycle Detection in Simulation Models". EUROSIM 2023. published.

2022

• Bertolotti F., Roman S.. " The Evolution of Risk Sensitivity in a Sustainability Game: an Agent-based Model". WOA 2022. published.
• Occa R., Bertolotti F.. " Understanding The Effect Of Iot Adoption On The Behaviour Of Firms: An Agent-Based Model". EMSA 2022. published.

2021

• Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L., Minelli E., Ravarini A., Stan R.. " The Italian Academic Research System and its Evaluation: a Conceptual Framework Inception". ItAIS 2020. published.
• Bertolotti F., Roman S.. " Risk Sensitivity of Production Studios on the US Movie Market: an Agent-based Simulation". WOA 2021. published.

2020

• Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Sensitivity to Initial Conditions in Agent-based Models". EUMAS 2020. published.
• Bertolotti F., Occa R.. " “Roads? Where we're going we don't need roads.” Using Agent-based modeling to analyze the economic impact of Hyperloop introduction on a supply chain". EUMAS 2020. published.

Conference Presentations

2025

• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Diffusion of technological innovation on networks leads to chaotic boom-bust cycles". Dynamic Days Europe 2025. presented.
• Bertolotti F.. " Is Winter Coming for Agent-Based Modeling? Challenges and the Risk of a Crisis". CCS 2025. accepted.
• Bertolotti F. Brinas Pascual N., Cartier Van Dissel M., Mitchell P., Nobile E., Rosillo-Rodes P.. " Navigating Success: A Network Analysis of Maritime Trade and Urban Prosperity in the Roman Empire". NetSci - HISTONET. accepted.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Diffusion of technological innovation on networks leads to chaotic boom-bust cycles". IC2S2 2025. presented.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " A Master Equation for Power Laws". IC2S2 2025. presented.
• Canavesi A., Bertolotti F., Cattaneo L., Mari L., Buonanno G., Ravarini A.. " From Developers to Players: Exploring the Dual Impact of Game-Based Learning on Student Engagement, Learning and Skill Development". 22th SEFI MSIG seminar. accepted.

2024

• Bertolotti F., Piras A., Mari L.. " Towards an LLM-enhanced Agent-based modeling". CCS 2024 - MPCS – Machine Psychology as a Complex System. accepted.
• Francesco Bertolotti, Fabrizio Schettini, Andrea Piras, Federica Asperti, Daniele Bellavia, Emanuela Foglia. " Data-Driven Healthcare Planning: Simulating Emergency Departments Dynamics with an Agent-Based Model". CCS 2024 - Complex Systems in Healthcare: Models, Prediction, and Innovation. presented.
• Piras A., Bertolotti F.. " City-State Interactions in a Resource-Constrained Environment: an Agent-based Model". CCS 2024. presented.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Modelling the collapse of complex societies". FRCCS 2024. presented.
• Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " The Epidemiological Side of a Social Dilemma". Complexis 2024. accepted.
• Bertolotti F., Asperti F., Poggialini G., Schettini F., Foglia E.. " An improved gravity model for Emergency Departments: from patients’ preferences to healthcare operations’ efficiency". EurOMA 2024. presentato.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " The emergence of chaos and inducing global sustainability". ESEE-Degrowth Pontevedra 2024. presentato.
• Marchetto U., Bertolotti F., Roman S., Piras A., Mari L.. " A Causal Inference Model to Determine Behavioural Changes in the US Movie Market". 27th International Conference on Discovery Science 2024. accepted.
• Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Asperti F., Foglia E. " The gravity of gravity: A Gravity Model for Emergency Care Units". CCS 2024. presented.
• Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " Getting the Flu at El Farol: the Epidemiological Side of a Social Dilemma". CCS 2024. presented.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Diffusion of technological innovation on networks leads to chaotic boom-bust cycles". Complex Networks 2024. presented.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " A Master Equation for Power Laws". Integrable Techniques in Theoretical Physics. presented.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Geometric considerations on planetary surface temperatures". European Geosciences Union General Assembly. presented.
• Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Modelling the collapse of complex societies". WE-Heraeus-Seminar Extreme Events: Identification, Analysis and Prediction. presented.

2023

• Patrascu M., Berceanu C., Bertolotti F., Arshad N.. " Can Predictive Agent-Based Models Offer a Glimpse into the Long-Term Pandemic-Infodemic Co-evolution?". Pandemic Centre's International Conference. presented.

2022

• Bertolotti F.. " The Paradox of Innovation on Systemic Risk: a System Dynamic model". Workshop on Understanding and Modeling Complex Risks in Coupled Human-Environment Systems. presented.
• Bertolotti F.. " Risk Preferences in Professional Sports Leagues: an Agent-based model". NERCSS 2022. presented.

2021

• Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Bellavia D., Porazzi E., Foglia E.. " Evaluating hospitals’ decision-makers risk preferences, employing a stock-flow simulation model of COVID-19 impact: a methodological approach". CCS2021 - CASMOS. presented.
• Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Emergence of Risk Sensitivity in a First-principles Agent-based model". CCS 2021. published.
• Schettini F., Bertolotti F., Foglia E., Ferrario L., Garagiola E., Bellavia D., Porazzi E.. " The innovative drugs economic impact in the management of COVID-19 hospitalized patients". EHMA 2021. presented.
• Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Emergence of Risk Sensitivity from First Principles". FRCCS 2021. presented.
• Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Emergence of Risk Sensitivity from First Principles". NERCSS 2021. presented.
• Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Emergence of Risk Sensitivity from First Principles- A Multi-Agent-Based model". AAMAS2021 - MABS. presented.

2020

• Bertolotti F.. " A Free-Energy Principle Metamodel for Socio-Technical Systems". ItAIS 2020 - Doctoral Consortium. presented.
• Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Risk Sensitivity Emergence in a Prey-Predators Agent-based Model". CCS 2020. presented.

2019

• Bertolotti F.. " La Teoria Generale dei Sistemi come strumento interpretativo dei fenomeni di crisi e trasformazione delle società umane". XI CONVEGNO INTERDISCIPLINARE DEI DOTTORANDI E DOTTORI DI RICERCA. presented.

Other Publications

2018

• Bertolotti F., Mari L.. " Agent-Based Modeling: un’analisi critica della bibliografia e delle relazioni con la Teoria Generale dei Sistemi". Università Cattaneo Research Papers. published.