Scientific publications
Here you can find a selection of my scientific publications, including journal papers, conference papers, presentations, and other relevant works. Click on the titles to access the pdf of the full papers, when available.
Some statistics
Paper counts by category
Conference Papers
20
Journal Papers
16
Pre-print
3
Paper counts by year
Citations by year
Journal Papers
2026
- Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " Emergence of Limit Cycles in an Epidemiological Extension of the El Farol Bar Problem". PlosOne. under review.
- Zaroual O., Mezzenzana M., Buonanno G., Bertolotti F.. " Assessing System Prompts Quality via a Genetic Algorithm in a LLM-enhanced Agent-Based Model". IEEE Transactions in Artificial intelligence. under review.
- Piras A., Bertolotti F.. " An Agent-based Model of Strategic Decision-Making in a City-State System". Frontiers in Complex Systems. submitted.
- Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " Policy-Making Reinforcement Learning in an Epidemiological Extension of the El Farol Bar Problem". Expert Systems With Application. In submission.
- Bertolotti F., Pozzi S., Schettini F., Asperti F., Foglia E. " A Shennon Entropy-based Metric for Measuring ECU Overcrowding". Expert Systems With Application. In submission.
- Mari L., Bertolotti F., Carimali L., Foschi L. C., Giordani A., Negrini A., Pisoni C., Sancassani S., Zuffinetti P., Borsese A.. " Intelligenza artificiale e formazione: perché e come imparare e insegnare oggi?". Nuova Secondaria. published.
2025
- Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Asperti F., Foglia E. " A Gravity Model for Emergency Care Units". Scientific Reports. published.
- Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " An Epidemiological Extension of the El Farol Bar Problem". Frontiers in Big Data. published.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Towards a new AI Winter? How diffusion of technological innovation on networks leads to chaotic boom-bust cycles". Frontiers in AI. published.
- Berceanu C., Bertolotti F., Arshad N., Patrascu M.. " Understanding the mechanisms of infodemics: Equation-based vs. agent-based models". PlosOne. published.
- Canavesi A., Bertolotti F., Cattaneo L., Mari L., Buonanno G., Ravarini A.. " From Developers to Players: Exploring the Dual Impact of Game-Based Learning on Student Engagement, Learning and Skill Development". Journal of Research in Educational Sciences. published.
2024
- Bertolotti F., Roman S.. " Balancing Long-term and Short-term Strategies in a Sustainability Game". iScience. published.
- Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Ferrario L., Bellavia D., Foglia E. " A Framework for Predicting Drug Consumpion with Short Time-Series". Expert Systems With Application. published.
2023
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Global history, the emergence of chaos and inducing sustainability in networks of socio-ecological systems". PlosOne. published.
2022
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " A Master Equation for Power Laws". Royal Society Open Science. published.
- Bertolotti F., Roman S.. " Risk Sensitive Scheduling Strategies of Production Studios on the US Movie Market an Agent-based Simulation". Intelligenza Artificiale. published.
Conference Papers
2026
- Monoli A., Sciangula S., Mezzenzana M., Buonanno G., Bertolotti F.. " Strategic Amnesia in LLM Agents playing the Iterated Prisoner’s Dilemma". WOA 2026. under review.
- Mascagni L., Agosta A., Mezzenzana M., Buonanno G., Bertolotti F.. " Modeling Multi-Agent LLM Debates Through Damped Ordinary Differential Equations". WOA 2026. under review.
- Moroni L., Prefumo M., Astuti S., Mascagni L., Bertolotti F.. " Emergent Kin-Based Behavior in LLM Artificial Societies: the Case of Sugarscape". WOA 2026. under review.
- Agosta A., Sciangula S., Mari L., Bertolotti F.. " Evaluating the Sensitivity of ABMs to Agents’ Decision Functions". WOA 2026. under review.
- Gastaldo L., Carucci F., Mascagni L., Bertolotti F.. " A Methodological Exploration of Rule-Based and MLP-Based Agents in Agent-Based Modeling". WOA 2026. under review.
- Foà E., Premoli G., Bertolotti F.. " The Declining Cost of Intelligence: Temporal and Economic Trends in LLM Performance on GPQA". ItalIA 2026. under review.
- Premoli G., Foà E., Bertolotti F.. " Estimating the Scale of Closed-Source Large Language Models from API Pricing". ItalIA 2026. under review.
- Carucci F., Mascagni L., Gastaldo L., Moroni L., Bertolotti F.. " Regime Mapping and Parameter Importance in Stochastic ABM of Behavioral Sink". WOA 2026. under review.
- Kadera N., Pasquino L., Mascagni L., Monoli L., Bertolotti F.. " Measuring the Emergence of Urban Cohesion in Early Settlements: A Spatial Agent-Based Model". WOA 2026. under review.
2025
- Bertolotti F., Roman S., Carucci F., Buonanno G., Mari L.. " An LLM-enhanced Agent-Based Model of a Sustainability Game". WOA 2025. published.
- Bertolotti F., Viscardi S., Creazza A., Colicchia E.. " An Agent-based Simulation Model of Rebound Effect in Retail Markets". MIM 2025 - Design, Optimization and Control Systems for Sustainable and Resilient Food Supply Chains. published.
2024
- Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " Exploring Epidemiological Dynamics in a Social Dilemma". FRCCS 2024. presented.
- Piras A., Bertolotti F.. " How Risk Preferences Shape City-State Success: An Agent-Based Model of Resource Management". WOA 2024. published.
2023
- Bertolotti F., Mari L.. " A Methodology for Limit Cycle Detection in Simulation Models". EUROSIM 2023. published.
2022
- Bertolotti F., Roman S.. " The Evolution of Risk Sensitivity in a Sustainability Game: an Agent-based Model". WOA 2022. published.
- Occa R., Bertolotti F.. " Understanding The Effect Of Iot Adoption On The Behaviour Of Firms: An Agent-Based Model". EMSA 2022. published.
2021
- Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L., Minelli E., Ravarini A., Stan R.. " The Italian Academic Research System and its Evaluation: a Conceptual Framework Inception". ItAIS 2020. published.
- Bertolotti F., Roman S.. " Risk Sensitivity of Production Studios on the US Movie Market: an Agent-based Simulation". WOA 2021. published.
2020
- Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Sensitivity to Initial Conditions in Agent-based Models". EUMAS 2020. published.
- Bertolotti F., Occa R.. " “Roads? Where we're going we don't need roads.” Using Agent-based modeling to analyze the economic impact of Hyperloop introduction on a supply chain". EUMAS 2020. published.
Conference Presentations
2026
- Agosta A., Carucci F., Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " A Simulation Model for Historical Evolution of Geopolitical Entities". NERCCS 2026. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Carucci F., Roman S., Mezzenzana M., Buonanno G., Mari L.. " Artificial Agents and Ecological Collapse: an LLM-enhanced Agent-Based Model of a Sustainability Game". NERCCS 2026. presented.
- Carucci F., Sciangula S., Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " A Meta-Model of Endogenous Overcrowding-Driven Demographic Collapse". NERCCS 2026. presented.
- Sciangula S., Agosta A., Carucci F., Bertolotti F.. " How News Connects: Mapping the Semantic Topology of a Digital Newspaper". NERCCS 2026. presented.
- Mascagni L., Zaroual O., Mezzenzana M., Buonanno G., Bertolotti F.. " Going for the Third: Cooperation between LLM Agents in a Three-Option Setting". NERCCS 2026. presented.
- Zaroual O., Carucci F., Mascagni L., Bertolotti F.. " Evolutionary System-Prompt Optimization for LLM Agents in Competitive Market Simulations". NERCCS 2026. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Zaroual O.. " Evolutionary System Prompt Optimization for LLM: Application to an Agent-Based Market Simulation". WOA 2026. submitted.
- Bertolotti F., Zaroual O.. " Evolutionary System Prompt Optimization for LLM: Application to an Agent-Based Market Simulation". CCS 2026. submitted.
- Carucci F., Bertolotti F.. " An Agent-based and Equation-based Meta-Model of Behavioral Sink: the Case of Universe 25". CCS 2026. submitted.
2025
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Diffusion of technological innovation on networks leads to chaotic boom-bust cycles". Dynamic Days Europe 2025. presented.
- Bertolotti F.. " Is Winter Coming for Agent-Based Modeling? Challenges and the Risk of a Crisis". CCS 2025. accepted.
- Bertolotti F., Brinas Pascual N., Cartier Van Dissel M., Mitchell P., Nobile E., Rosillo-Rodes P.. " Navigating Success: A Network Analysis of Maritime Trade and Urban Prosperity in the Roman Empire". NetSci - HISTONET. accepted.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Diffusion of technological innovation on networks leads to chaotic boom-bust cycles". IC2S2 2025. presented.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " A Master Equation for Power Laws". IC2S2 2025. presented.
- Canavesi A., Bertolotti F., Cattaneo L., Mari L., Buonanno G., Ravarini A.. " From Developers to Players: Exploring the Dual Impact of Game-Based Learning on Student Engagement, Learning and Skill Development". 22th SEFI MSIG seminar. accepted.
2024
- Bertolotti F., Piras A., Mari L.. " Towards an LLM-enhanced Agent-based modeling". CCS 2024 - MPCS – Machine Psychology as a Complex System. accepted.
- Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Piras A., Asperti F., Bellavia D., Foglia E.. " Data-Driven Healthcare Planning: Simulating Emergency Departments Dynamics with an Agent-Based Model". CCS 2024 - Complex Systems in Healthcare: Models, Prediction, and Innovation. presented.
- Piras A., Bertolotti F.. " City-State Interactions in a Resource-Constrained Environment: an Agent-based Model". CCS 2024. presented.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Modelling the collapse of complex societies". FRCCS 2024. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " The Epidemiological Side of a Social Dilemma". Complexis 2024. accepted.
- Bertolotti F., Asperti F., Poggialini G., Schettini F., Foglia E.. " An improved gravity model for Emergency Departments: from patients’ preferences to healthcare operations’ efficiency". EurOMA 2024. presentato.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " The emergence of chaos and inducing global sustainability". ESEE-Degrowth Pontevedra 2024. presentato.
- Marchetto U., Bertolotti F., Roman S., Piras A., Mari L.. " A Causal Inference Model to Determine Behavioural Changes in the US Movie Market". 27th International Conference on Discovery Science 2024. accepted.
- Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Asperti F., Foglia E. " The gravity of gravity: A Gravity Model for Emergency Care Units". CCS 2024. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Kaddera N., Pasquino L., Mari L.. " Getting the Flu at El Farol: the Epidemiological Side of a Social Dilemma". CCS 2024. presented.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Diffusion of technological innovation on networks leads to chaotic boom-bust cycles". Complex Networks 2024. presented.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " A Master Equation for Power Laws". Integrable Techniques in Theoretical Physics. presented.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Geometric considerations on planetary surface temperatures". European Geosciences Union General Assembly. presented.
- Roman S., Bertolotti F.. " Modelling the collapse of complex societies". WE-Heraeus-Seminar Extreme Events: Identification, Analysis and Prediction. presented.
2023
- Patrascu M., Berceanu C., Bertolotti F., Arshad N.. " Can Predictive Agent-Based Models Offer a Glimpse into the Long-Term Pandemic-Infodemic Co-evolution?". Pandemic Centre's International Conference. presented.
2022
- Bertolotti F.. " The Paradox of Innovation on Systemic Risk: a System Dynamic model". Workshop on Understanding and Modeling Complex Risks in Coupled Human-Environment Systems. presented.
- Bertolotti F.. " Risk Preferences in Professional Sports Leagues: an Agent-based model". NERCSS 2022. presented.
2021
- Bertolotti F., Schettini F., Bellavia D., Porazzi E., Foglia E.. " Evaluating hospitals’ decision-makers risk preferences, employing a stock-flow simulation model of COVID-19 impact: a methodological approach". CCS2021 - CASMOS. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Emergence of Risk Sensitivity in a First-principles Agent-based model". CCS 2021. published.
- Schettini F., Bertolotti F., Foglia E., Ferrario L., Garagiola E., Bellavia D., Porazzi E.. " The innovative drugs economic impact in the management of COVID-19 hospitalized patients". EHMA 2021. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Emergence of Risk Sensitivity from First Principles". FRCCS 2021. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Emergence of Risk Sensitivity from First Principles". NERCSS 2021. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Emergence of Risk Sensitivity from First Principles- A Multi-Agent-Based model". AAMAS2021 - MABS. presented.
2020
- Bertolotti F.. " A Free-Energy Principle Metamodel for Socio-Technical Systems". ItAIS 2020 - Doctoral Consortium. presented.
- Bertolotti F., Locoro A., Mari L.. " Risk Sensitivity Emergence in a Prey-Predators Agent-based Model". CCS 2020. presented.
2019
- Bertolotti F.. " La Teoria Generale dei Sistemi come strumento interpretativo dei fenomeni di crisi e trasformazione delle società umane". XI CONVEGNO INTERDISCIPLINARE DEI DOTTORANDI E DOTTORI DI RICERCA. presented.
Other Publications
2018
- Bertolotti F., Mari L.. " Agent-Based Modeling: un’analisi critica della bibliografia e delle relazioni con la Teoria Generale dei Sistemi". Università Cattaneo Research Papers. published.
Pre-print
2026
- Sodano L., Sciangula S., Galmarini A., Bertolotti F.. " Emergence of Fragility in LLM-based Social Networks: the Case of Moltbook". ArXiv. published.
- Scantamburlo R., Mezzenzana M., Buonanno G., Bertolotti F.. " Semantic Delta: An Interpretable Signal Differentiating Human and LLMs Dialogue". ArXiv. published.
2025
- Bertolotti F., Mari L.. " An LLM-based Delphi Study to Predict GenAI Evolution". ArXiv. published.